Rockies vs. Pirates odds, line: 2021 MLB picks, predictions for June 28 from proven computer model

Teams trending in opposite directions meet when the Pittsburgh Pirates face the Colorado Rockies in the first of a three-game series on Monday afternoon. It will be “Opening Day 2.0” for the Rockies, who welcome fans back at full capacity for the first time since the start of COVID-19. The Pirates (29-47), who are fifth in the National League Central, have won six of nine after taking three of four from the St. Louis Cardinals this past weekend. The Rockies (31-47), who are fourth in the NL West, have lost six of seven after being swept in a three-game series by the Milwaukee Brewers. 

First pitch from Coors Field in Denver is set for 5:10 p.m. ET. The Pirates lead the all-time series 111-102, but the Rockies hold a 55-48 edge in games played in Denver, Colo. Colorado is a -121 betting favorite (risk $121 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Pirates vs. Rockies odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 11.5. Before making any Rockies vs. Pirates picks, check out the latest MLB predictions today from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line picks. It’s off to a sizzling start in 2021, going 100-74 on top-rated MLB picks through 12 weeks, returning over $1,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on Pirates vs Rockies. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Rockies vs Pirates:

  • Pirates vs. Rockies money line: Pittsburgh +110, Colorado -121 
  • Pirates vs. Rockies run line: Colorado -1.5 (+145)
  • Pirates vs. Rockies over-under: 11.5 runs 
  • PIT: The under is 6-1 in Pirates’ last seven games against a National League West opponent 
  • COL: The Rockies are 12-4 in their last 16 home games 

Featured Game | Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Why you should back the Rockies

Colorado is expected to send left-hander Kyle Freeland (0-2, 7.76 ERA) to the mound. Freeland is coming off one of his best outings of the season, getting a no-decision at Seattle on Tuesday. In six innings pitched, Freeland allowed just one earned run on five hits with one walk and seven strikeouts. Walks had been a problem earlier in the year for Freeland and, for the season, he now has 12 walks and 19 strikeouts. In five career appearances against the Pirates – all starts – he is 2-2 with a 4.73 ERA with 13 walks and 14 strikeouts.

Offensively, shortstop Trevor Story has been a bright spot for Colorado. He has hits in 10 of the team’s last 12 games, including five multi-hit games during that stretch. Since June 13, Story has raised his average 17 points. For the season, he is hitting .254 with nine home runs and 34 RBIs. In 25 career games against the Pirates, he is batting .295 with four doubles, five homers and 12 RBIs.

Why you should back the Pirates

Left-hander Tyler Anderson (3-7, 4.82) is expected to get the start for Pittsburgh. Although he has pitched fairly well over the past several appearances, he has not won since a 6-5 victory over the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on May 9. In his last outing on Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox, he got a no-decision after pitching 6 2/3 innings, allowing just three earned runs on five hits. For the season, he has a WHIP of 1.23 with 21 walks and 69 strikeouts.

Second baseman Adam Frazier has been red-hot and is coming off a solid series against the Cardinals, going 7-for-15 with one homer and four runs scored. For the season, he is batting .331 with four homers, 28 RBIs and 49 runs scored. In Sunday’s 7-2 win over St. Louis, Frazier was 3-for-4 with two runs scored. In 19 career games against the Rockies, he is batting .338 with seven doubles, two homers and eight RBIs.

How to make Pirates vs. Rockies picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the run total, as the simulation says the starting pitchers from both teams will combine to allow fewer than six runs in nearly 11 combined innings, and it also says one side of the money line has the value. You can only get that pick and other MLB picks today on SportsLine.

So who wins Pirates vs. Rockies? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pirates vs. Rockies spread to jump on Monday, all from the advanced model that has returned over $1,200 on MLB picks in 2021

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